In this paper we consider Georgescu-Roegen's approach to uncertainty, showing that his characterization of expectations cannot be reduced to any probabilistic decision-making model. Drawing upon Georgescu-Roegen's lesson a lexicographical utility function is proposed and analysed in the mark of his own peculiar scientific methodology. It is demonstrated that such a formulation can be useful in solving the usual failure of the expected utility model, such as the Ellsberg paradoxes. The epistemic limits of our re-construction are considered.
Probability and uncertainty: the legacy of Georgescu-Roegen
FONTINI, FULVIO
2009-01-01
Abstract
In this paper we consider Georgescu-Roegen's approach to uncertainty, showing that his characterization of expectations cannot be reduced to any probabilistic decision-making model. Drawing upon Georgescu-Roegen's lesson a lexicographical utility function is proposed and analysed in the mark of his own peculiar scientific methodology. It is demonstrated that such a formulation can be useful in solving the usual failure of the expected utility model, such as the Ellsberg paradoxes. The epistemic limits of our re-construction are considered.File in questo prodotto:
| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
meca_337.pdf
solo utenti autorizzati
Tipologia:
Versione editoriale
Licenza:
Copyright dell'editore
Dimensione
169.57 kB
Formato
Adobe PDF
|
169.57 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizza/Apri Richiedi una copia |
I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.


