European Lifestyles and Marine Ecosystems (ELME)”. Specific Targeted Research - SIXTH FRAMEWORK PROGRAMMEPRIORITY SUSTDEV-2002-3.III.2.1 - Generating models of socio-economic impacts on biodiversity and ecosystems.

The ELME project is an EU Sixth Framework Programme consisting of a consortium of 28 research groups from 15 European countries. Marine ecosystems posses great intrinsic value as reserves of biological diversity and are vital providers of goods and services to humanity. However, they are often disregarded during economic and social development. Europe’s four sea areas; the Baltic, NE Atlantic, Mediterranean and Black Sea have each paid a heavy price for unsustainable development within their catchments and sea areas. Their ecosystems have suffered to differing degrees from eutrophication, chemical pollution, unsustainable fisheries and physical destruction of habitats. This damage is closely connected with human lifestyles throughout the continent. The future integrity of marine systems depends on our approach to European development in the coming decades. Bringing marine ecosystems into policies for sustainable development requires better information on the causal connections between human pressures and the changing state of the systems. This is particularly important at a time when the European Community is expanding, re-examining its agricultural and chemical policies, implementing a new fisheries policy and exploring new ways to protect marine systems. ELME will enhance understanding of causality, forecast the impacts of divergent development scenarios and inform evolving Community policies. Current interdisciplinary knowledge linking lifestyles with their marine environmental consequences is widely dispersed. ELME brings together a necessarily large consortium, covering all relevant disciplines and regions. It integrates existing knowledge of environmental state changes, sectoral pressures and social and economic drivers using a common conceptual model. It will select contextual indicators for each causal level and model the relationships between them. These models will be applied to plausible development scenarios with particular focus on the accession process, to explore possible consequences for the stated four marine ecosystems. Objectives 1. To assess the consequences of current human lifestyles on Europe's regional seas 2. To create a predictive model of the following key environmental problems: • destruction of habitats and species • eutrophication • chemical pollution • unsustainable extraction of living resources 3. To form an integrated vision of the future state of Europe's seas following the application of alternative policy options